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- <text id=92TT2571>
- <title>
- Nov. 16, 1992: The Tea Leaves Were Wrong
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
- Nov. 16, 1992 Election Special: Mandate for Change
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- THE WEEK, Page 22
- ELECTION `92
- The Tea Leaves Were Wrong
- </hdr><body>
- <p>Most of the popular indicators generally used to predict the
- winner in presidential elections favored George Bush this year.
- </p>
- <p> THE NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY: Since 1952 no one has won the White
- House without first winning this contest -- until now.
- </p>
- <p> BORDEAUX QUALITY: A bad vintage year (and this is) usually
- means a Republican victory.
- </p>
- <p> STRAW POLL: When movie-goers bought popcorn at General
- Cinema theaters, they were asked to vote by picking a straw (red
- for Clinton, white for Perot or blue for Bush). Film fans gave
- Clinton 40%, Bush 34.7%, and Perot 25.3%.
- </p>
- <p> THE WEEKLY READER POLL: Right every time since 1956 --
- until now. In September its school-aged readers picked Bush by
- a large margin.
- </p>
- <p> LEFTIES: Lefthanded incumbents have never been reelected.
- All three candidates this year are southpaws, so look for a
- one-term Clinton presidency.
- </p>
- <p> CROOK COUNTY, OREGON: For the first time since the county
- lines were drawn in 1882, voters here were wrong about a
- presidential election: they picked Bush.
- </p>
- <p> THE WORLD SERIES: In eight of the past 11 elections, an
- American League victory presaged a Republican victory, an N.L.
- win a Democractic coup. Despite Toronto's win, baseball's
- average drops to .667.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
-
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